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Here are my movie predictions. As I stated in my TV predictions, my predictions aren't necessarily what I believe should win but moreso what I think the voters will have voted for. The 70th Golden Globes Award Show airs Sunday, January 13th at 8 PM EST.
Best Motion Picture – Drama
Frontrunner: Lincoln. Seems like the most logical choice here. It’s grand, it’s epic, it’s got Daniel Day-Lewis, and it’s directed by Spielberg. Although Zero Dark Thirty is a very close second and might garner a win because the Golden Globes awarded Avatar instead of Bigelow’s last movie The Hurt Locker.
Sleeper: Django Unchained. Could get the nod as more of a lifetime achievement for a Tarantino movie as the Golden Globes have nominated his movies multiple times but he’s never won (although he did win for best screenplay in 1994).
Leading Actor – Drama
Frontrunner: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln. It’s DDL and he plays arguably the USA’s greatest president. Enough said.
Sleeper: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master. Phoenix was incredible here, displaying almost every emotion in the tire emotional spectrum as well as giving his character scoliosis.
Leading Actress – Drama
Frontrunner: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty. Her performance has been receiving accolades since the movie was first screened and they have yet to stop. Being in the movie that will end up being the most watched out of the nominees for this category doesn’t hurt.
No sleepers, I haven’t seen any of the other performances and probably never will.
Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Frontrunner: Les Miserables. People absolutely love Les Mis and this version is far and away the definitive film version. Good casting and having the actors actually sing their parts live while filming as opposed to lip syncing and dubbing their voices from a recording studio makes it all the more impressive.
Deep Sleeper: Moonrise Kingdom. Silver Linings Playbook is the obvious sleeper choice but the Golden Globes love to shock people. Moonrise Kingdom, probably Wes Anderson’s best and definitely his most serious film to date might be the perfect surprise award for this category.
Leading Actor – Musical or Comedy
Frontrunner: Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables. He turned in a great performance and his singing actually enhanced the film, unlike most musical to film adaptations where the singing by the movie actors can be very spotty (i.e. 2004’s The Phantom of the Opera).
Sleeper: Jack Black, Bernie. Black’s performance as Bernie was so different from his raucous and over the top persona and performances that he is very deserving. This might be the most impressive performance of the entire year in my book.
Leading Actress – Musical or Comedy
Frontrunner: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook. I have to admit I have not seen the movie but by all accounts Lawrence is the best part of this very good movie. I am not a fan of Lawrence myself, I think she is highly overrated from the movies I’ve seen her in (especially Winter’s Bone, which was even more overrated than her performance).
Sleeper: Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel. She always gives very good performances in anything that she’s in and the recent problems that are causing her to retire might garner some sympathy votes.
Supporting Actor – All Movies
This is far and away the best race of the night. I really can’t pick but the three most deserving in no order would be Leonardo DiCaprio and Christoph Waltz for Django Unchained and Philip Seymour Hoffman for The Master. I would give the slight edge to DiCaprio myself but having to choose is like splitting hairs.
Supporting Actress – All Movies
Frontrunners: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables and Amy Adams, The Master. Hathaway probably gets the nod here because of her intense performance and her absolute commitment to the role but Amy Adams did a whole heck of a lot with very few lines and was in the entire movie.
Sleeper: Sally Field, Lincoln. Mary Todd Lincoln is no easy character to play and Field brought a nuance to the role that gave a greater understanding of the film.
Best Director – All Movies
This is yet another stacked award that is only rivaled by the supporting actor category. It’s easy to see anyone winning. The top three are probably Bigelow, Spielberg, and Tarantino but Affleck could be the sleeper here as Hollywood loves actors turned competent movie directors. Affleck doesn’t deserve it over the other three but, as mentioned above, the Golden Globes love surprises and his movie was extremely competent.
Best Screenplay – All Movies
Frontrunners: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained. Tarantino is unlike any other writer in Hollywood and I could see him getting the award because he will more than likely lose out on the Best Drama and Best Director awards. Mark Boal for Zero Dark Thirty would not shock anyone either. There aren’t really any sleepers here because a case could be made for all of them.
That wraps it up for my predictions. I have only seen one movie for Best Animated Picture and none of the Best Foreign Pictures but from various reviews and buzz when the movies came out I would not be surprised if Brave won for Animated Film and Amour won for Foreign Language.