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My predictions aren't always who I feel should win but who I think the voters have chosen. Tomorrow, I'll have my predictions for the Golden Globe Movie nominees.
Best Series – Drama
Frontrunner: Breaking Bad. It is the penultimate season of the critically acclaimed AMC drama and Homeland by all accounts took a dip in quality this year. They would be voting on Season 2 for Homeland, last year Season 1 took home the award.
Sleepers: The Newsroom. Much to my chagrin it wouldn’t be that much of a stretch for Hollywood to award this show that I thought was only above average for most of the season, and often dipped below average. Hollywood does love to toot its own horn for political forward thinking though. Boardwalk Empire could win as well as it just came off its best season and has always had the highest production values of any show currently on TV.
Leading Actor – Drama
Frontrunner: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad. Look, Jon Hamm should win but since he has been nominated every year the show has existed and only won for the first season it isn’t going to happen. Cranston has been nominated only three times and has never won so this could be a bit of a reward for his previous greatness.
Sleeper: Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom. Same reasoning as above and also because he has lots of explosions in the show.
Leading Actress – Drama
Frontrunner: Claire Danes, Homeland. She has probably the toughest job on TV. Even though she won last year it wouldn’t be surprising if she repeated as she constantly has to toe the line between sanity and insanity.
Best Series – Comedy or Musical
Frontrunner: Girls. Both The Big Bang Theory and Modern Family have been around for quite some time, especially the former. Due to the newness of Girls, basically for Lena Dunham’s very specific voice, I could easily see Grils getting the nod. Although Modern Family is a close second as it has been nominated every year of its existence but has only won once.
Sleeper: Smash. It features some a pretty talented cast and is a weekly musical TV series, something fairly hard to do.
Leading Actor – Comedy
Frontrunner: Louis C.K., Louie. Even though he doesn’t do much acting as he plays something close to himself he still probably deserves the award as the constantly beaten protagonist.
Sleeper: Matt LeBlanc, Episodes. Matt LeBlanc of Friends fame makes his glorious return to TV for a show that is actually pretty good. Don Cheadle for House of Lies could also be an interesting choice as well.
Leading Actress – Comedy
Frontrunner: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep. It’s pretty simple; the show would not be possible without her. She also does a great job being dejected about her current position as Vice President of the USA while also straddling incompetence and deft politicking.
Sleeper: Zooey Deshanel, New Girl. In the past when Hollywood movie stars do TV it is a sign of a major step down. She might be rewarded for her “courage” in doing so.
Best Mini-series or TV Movie
Frontrunner: Game Change. A shocking looking into the 2008 Vice Presidential nomination of Sarah Palin that featured some great performances and some pointed political commentary. Sounds like something awards would salivate over. The fact that the great Sherlock wasn’t even nominated is a tragedy.
Sleeper: Hatfields & McCoys. Featuring a very good cast and having already won the Emmy, this mini-series could be rewarded again.
Leading Actor – Mini-series or TV Movie
Frontrunner: Toby Jones, The Girl. Jones did a wonderful impersonation of Alfred Hitchcock for the HBO movie, filling his version with a creepiness and intensity.
Sleeper: Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock. Ok, this is more my wanting him to be seriously considered more than me actually thinking he could have a chance at winning. Cumberbatch does play a great modern day Sherlock Holmes. Clive Owen for Hemingway & Gellhorn is probably a better choice for how the awards might shake out though.
Leading Actress – Mini-series or TV Movie
Frontrunner: Julianne Moore, Game Change. She won the Emmy and her impersonation of Sarah Palin is spot on. It would be an absolute shock if anyone else won this award.
Supporting Actor – in any TV series, Mini-series, or TV Movie
Frontrunner: Ed Harris, Game Change. Harris was pretty good as John McCain and is the biggest name actor in the category. Patinkin might win but since his role was greatly diminished in Season 2 of Homeland he might not be as deserving as he was last year and he didn’t even win last year.
Sleeper: Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family. He already won the Emmy this year and it could just be his year.
Supporting Actress – in any TV series, Mini-series, or TV Movie
Frontrunner: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey: Season 2. She plays the great matriarch of the Crawley family, often throwing out barbs and witticisms throughout. Her facial expression is perfect whenever her character is surprised.
Sleeper: Sarah Paulson, Game Change. I thought she deserved the Emmy win for her character that was put in charge of teaching and controlling Sarah Palin. She is probably the most deserving of the nominees so it wouldn’t be a shock to me if she won.
Don't forget to come back tomorrow for my Golden Globes Movie Predictions. The Globes are handed out on Sunday.